Eva Deschamps / March 5, 2022
In the second round, Emmanuel Macron would win against Marine Le Pen (59% vs. 41%), and more widely against Eric Zemmour (65%-35%), according to an Ipsos-Sopra-Steria poll.
Emmanuel Macron gains four points in a week and passes the 30% mark, after the outbreak of war in Ukraine, and would come out on top in the first round ahead of Marine Le Pen, Valerie Pécresse and Eric Zemmour, who is backsliding, according to a poll released Saturday.
While purchasing power remains the main concern of the French (52%), the war in Ukraine, which began on February 24, is now in second place (33%), ahead of the environment (28%) and the healthcare system (26%).
90% of respondents are rather or very worried about the impact of the war in Ukraine (+ 2 points in one week), and 76% are worried about a possible nuclear conflict.
The outgoing president, now a candidate for re-election, is credited with 30.5% of voting intentions in the first round, gaining four points compared to the previous survey by the same Ipsos-Sopra-Steria institute at the end of February, ahead of far-right candidates Marine Le Pen (14.5%, -1) and Eric Zemmour (13%, -2). Valérie Pécresse continues to fall (11.5, -1), passing behind the radical left-wing candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon (12%, +0.5).
On the left, the environmentalist Yannick Jadot (EELV), is stable at 7.5%, ahead of the communist Fabien Roussel, stable at 4%, the socialist Anne Hidalgo, stable at 2.5% after the withdrawal of Christiane Taubira.
In the second round, Emmanuel Macron would win against Marine Le Pen (59% vs. 41%), and more widely against Eric Zemmour (65%-35%).
Voting intentions are not a forecast of the outcome of the election. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day the survey was conducted. Survey conducted online on March 2 and 3, 2022, among 3,599 people registered to vote, from a representative sample of the French population aged 18 and over, according to the quota method. Margin of error between 0.5 and 2 percentage points.